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Ray Dalio suggests that gold and non-fiat currencies are likely to serve as stronger stores of value, as US Debt Levels Increases. 

Ray Dalio on Gold, Non-Fiat Currencies, and Rising Debt:

• Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio warned that gold and non-fiat currencies are likely to become more reliable stores of value as traditional fiat currencies face growing devaluation risks due to rising global debt.
• Dalio emphasized: “We’re going to see non-fiat currencies become a more important store of wealth and money.”
• He advises investors to diversify their portfolios, recommending around 10% allocation to gold.
• Meanwhile, the U.S. federal deficit is set to increase by $3.4 trillion over the next decade, largely due to the tax cuts introduced under President Donald Trump.

Ray Dalio Warns of Global Fiscal Crisis, Endorses Gold and Non-Fiat Currencies as Safer Stores of Value

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio cautioned that gold and non-fiat currencies are poised to become stronger stores of value as global debt mounts and major fiat currencies face increasing devaluation risks.

Speaking at the FutureChina Global Forum 2025, Dalio described the U.S. government’s soaring debt levels and excessive spending as “unsustainable,” warning that the world’s largest economy is heading toward a fiscal crisis that could destabilize the current monetary order.

“We are going to see non-fiat currencies become more important stores of wealth and money,” Dalio said, advising investors to diversify their portfolios with approximately 10% allocated to gold.

Dalio stressed that all fiat currencies are vulnerable when governments fail to rein in borrowing and spending, making gold and alternative assets more attractive as reliable stores of value.

U.S. Debt Crisis Reaching a Tipping Point

Echoing Dalio’s concerns, Ng Kok Song, founding partner and chairman of Avanda Investment Management, said the U.S. debt situation has reached a tipping point, although the exact timing of a potential crisis remains uncertain. He added that fiscal vulnerabilities are not unique to the U.S., pointing to similar risks in France, Japan, and China.

While the U.S. dollar has depreciated over 10% this year against other major currencies, Dalio noted that those currencies have also lost ground relative to gold, which he said has now become the second-largest reserve asset globally.

A Widening Supply-Demand Imbalance

Dalio highlighted a concerning imbalance in the U.S. Treasury market. He estimates that to finance the current fiscal situation, the government would need to issue $12 trillion in new debt covering a $2 trillion deficit, $1 trillion in interest payments, and $9 trillion in maturing debt.

“The market does not have the demand to absorb that amount of debt,” he warned, pointing to a growing supply-demand mismatch that could further strain the financial system.

Dalio said he has proposed policy recommendations to U.S. lawmakers, including reducing the fiscal deficit to 3% of GDP, but noted that political resistance on both sides has stalled any meaningful progress.

He also referenced President Donald Trump’s tax-and-spending bill, which is projected to add $3.4 trillion to federal deficits over the next decade.

Dollar’s Role Changing, But Not Gone

Despite these concerns, Dalio acknowledged that the U.S. dollar will likely maintain its dominance as a “medium of exchange.” However, the growing use of the Chinese yuan in global trade could reduce the dollar’s influence over time.

Source: Article by Anniek Bao in CNBC

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